Aaron Rodgers (vs Bears)- He threw 4 TD’s against them the last time they played and I expect another big game against the woeful Bears, who give up the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing QB’s.
Cam Newton (vs Eagles)- The Eagles are giving up the 4th most fantasy points to opposing QB’s and Cam Newton isn’t going to squander consecutive plus match-ups, right?
Ben Roethlisberger (vs Jets)- So you’re telling me the hottest player in the league gets to play the worst secondary in the league?? I’m all in on Big Ben against the terrible Jets that give up the most points to fantasy QB’s? Yes please
Matt Ryan (vs Tampa Bay)- Remember the last time these two played? When the Falcons dropped 56 on the Buccaneers? Tampa hasn’t gotten much better and I expect Ryan to take advantage of a defense that give up the 6th most fantasy points to opposing QB’s
Ronnie Hillman (vs Raiders)- He has a TD or 100 yards from scrimmage in every game as the starter for the Broncos. Tack on a plus match-up against the Raiders(giving up the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing running backs) and he is a lock for this week.
Bobby Rainey (vs Falcons)- He had 100 yards from scrimmage the last time they played the Falcons, the problem was he fumbled twice. I don’t think he fumbles twice and I don’t think this game gets out of hand quite like the beat-down of the season did.
Jeremy Hill (vs Browns)- Giovanni Bernard is inactive, time to give Jeremy Hill the start again as he will receive the bulk of the carries.
Justin Forsett/Lorenzo Taliafero (vs Titans)- The Titans have given up the 4th most rushing yards to opposing running backs in the NFL. I included Taliafero because I think if you were picking a good week to play him for the potential of a TD vulture, this week is as good as any. Forsett is also a pretty safe play, having at least 60 total yards in every game this season.
Matt Forte (vs Packers)- The PPR monster returns! Forte had 5 catches and at least 50 yards rushing and receiving (alright one game had 49 yards rushing and one had 49 receiving sue me) in his last 5 games before the bye week. When you can count on a guy for 100 yards from scrimmage about every week he’s a stud, and the last time we saw the Packers they were getting gashed by Mark Ingram for 172 yards on the ground.
Martavus Bryant, Markus Wheaton (vs Jets) – If you are taking a flier on the non-Antonio Brown receiver who goes off against the hapless Jets secondary it’s not a bad option.
James Jones, Andre Holmes (vs Broncos) – David Carr hasn’t been terrible and gets the ball to these two guys when leading the Raiders, inevitable furious comeback. Andre Holmes has had all his success in even numbered weeks(seriously, look it up. He hasn’t had 35 yards receiving in an odd numbered week) and James Jones hasn’t had a good game in a few weeks but the targets are still there and I think he converts more of them for some success this week.
Mike Evans (vs Falcons)- He had a breakout game last week with 124 yards and two touchdowns. I’m a little concerned about Josh McCown returning to starting duty, but Evans is a safe play, having at least 4 catches and has had at least 50 yards in every game since his first game in the NFL. The Falcons defense is atrocious and I think he can still go off here.
Jason Witten (vs Jaguars) – I like him regardless who the quarterback is. Witten is finally coming alive in the season. He has 15 targets for 11 catches and 132 yards and a TD in his last two weeks, one of those games played with Tony Romo and one with Brandon Weeden.
Heath Miller (vs Jets)- The Jets have given up 11 TD’s to tight ends( including two TD’s last week) and the second most fantasy points to opposing tight ends. They are an auto-start for tight ends and a great match-up for the red hot Steelers leading tight end.
Larry Donnell (vs Seattle)- The Seahawks have given up 10 TD’s and the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing tight ends. Donnell has been up and down this season but I think this is one of his “up” games.
Cardinals (vs Rams)- The Rams give up the second most points to opposing fantasy defenses, and I expect the Cardinals to keep rolling.
Cowboys (vs Jaguars)- The Jaguars defense gives up the most fantasy points to opposing defenses and whoever they are playing usually makes a solid plug and play defense.
Steelers (vs Jets)- The Jets give up the 4th most fantasy points to opposing defenses, also they are a train-wreck on offense.
Chiefs (vs Bills)- The Chiefs defense has sneakily quietly sneaked into the top 10 of fantasy defenses. This is in part of the due to the 12 sacks they have since coming off the bye week, and these impressive real life stats. 5th in total yards allowed, 2nd in points allowed per game, 1st in passing yards allowed per game and have given up 0 rushing touchdowns this season. Did I mention Anthony Dixon is starting at running back for Buffalo and Sammy Watkins might miss the game as added bonuses?
Mark Sanchez (vs Carolina)- Not buying the hype. He threw 2 picks last week and he is hasn’t proven he isn’t a turnover prone QB.
Ryan Tannehill (vs Lions)- The Lions have allowed only two 300 yard passers this season and only games with more than 1 passing TD. Tannehill has been a revelation off the bye but is a stay away this week.
Austin Davis (vs Cardinals)- The Cardinals give up a ton of passing yards, but I don’t think Davis will get them this week. Without Brian Quick the Rams are back to having the worst receiving corps in the NFL and that should strongly limit Davis’ ceiling for the rest of the season.
Tony Romo (vs Jaguars)- He might not play, if he plays he might be limited or bother by the back injury, the London games are usually weird, I don’t want any part of this.
Ben Tate (vs Bengals)-He has run for exactly 65 yards since the Browns lost Alex Mack for the season due to injury. Top that off with Terrance West getting involved in the game-plan again and Tate will have a miserable game, and might be droppable depending on how you feel about it going forward.
Tre Mason (vs Cardinals)- Don’t trust the situation, the workload, and frankly the player quite yet. Also playing the 3rd rank rush defense(also giving up the 3rd least amount of fantasy points to opposing running backs) in the Cardinals doesn’t help.
Andre Williams (vs Seattle)- He has played extremely poorly during his opportunity to carve out more work for himself during Rashad Jennings’ absence. The Seahawks are the 5th ranked rush defense in the NFL and give up the 6th fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs. If he doesn’t score, his stat line will be miserable.
Joique Bell (vs Dolphins)- I don’t like the match-up and I don’t like Theo Riddick and now maybe Reggie Bush eating away at his workload. Bell is a stay-away for me this week and is now an RB3 with his team-mates healthy.
Steve Smith Sr. (vs Titans)- He has had one touchdown and only two games over 50 yards receiving since playing Carolina. It seems like Smith got the revenge he wanted and has checked out a little bit since. Torrey Smith has come on during that time and I suspect Torrey Smith to be the one to take advantage of the Titans.
Reuben Randle, Odell Beckham Jr. (vs Seattle)- Reuben Randle has been incredibly disappointing this year and doesn’t need to be owned anymore in standard leagues. Beckham has played well since entering the line-up but I suspect a match-up withe the still kinda tough Seahawks defense slows him down.
Mike Wallace (vs Lions)- Tough match-up and he has only converted 1/3 of his targets the last two weeks. Wallace was great when he was scoring a TD every week but when he isn’t he is a clear WR2 and a WR3 in a bad match-up like this.
Michael Crabtree (vs Rams)- The obligatory “he shouldn’t be owned anymore” lose ’em inclusion.
Vernon Davis (vs Rams) – Like his team mate Crabtree, Davis doesn’t deserve to be owned in fantasy anymore.
Delanie Walker (vs Ravens)- The Ravens have only given up two touchdowns to opposing tight ends this year and Walker has slowed down since his hot start to the season. Since week 4 he hasn’t had 5 catches in a game, just one touchdown and one game with more than 50 yards receiving.
Bears (vs Packers)- Don’t start any defense against the Packers
San Francisco (vs Saints)- The Saints are rolling and will put up gobs of yards at home, regardless of the defense.