Week 10 NFL Picks Against the Spread

After going a lackluster 5-8 I have unfortunately dropped under .500 for the season with a 65-68 record. I’m looking to bounce back this week and am done with certain teams going forward(Here’s looking at you Seahawksnd 49ers). Things are starting to get really good in the NFL as teams now jockey for playoff positioning before preparing for the home-stretch and there are a few games this week that definitely have playoff implications. As usual all lines are from FootballLocks.com . Without further ado let’s get the picks out for this week.

Thursday Night

@Cincinnati -6 OVER Cleveland- This is a do or die game for both of these teams. In a suddenly loaded AFC and the Steelers at 6-3 both these teams could greatly use a division win. I’m taking the Bengals because I think they have more firepower than the Browns and should be able to win and cover.

Sunday Early Games

Pittsburgh -5 OVER @NY Jets- The Jets are terrible and the Steelers are red hot, I’m taking the obvious choice here.

@Tampa Bay +1 OVER Atlanta- These two teams have both played equally crappy this year and the Falcons’ drubbing of the Buccaneers feels like a lifetime ago, I’m taking the home-dog in Tampa.

Dallas -6.5 OVER Jaguars(in London)- I’m taking the Cowboys if Tony Romo plays and the Jaguars if he doesn’t.

@New Orleans -4.5 OVER San Francisco 49ers- The 49ers look to be on the downswing and the Saints are on the rise, and at home, I think New Orleans continue their march towards the NFC South crown.

Kansas City -2 OVER @Buffalo- Both these teams are a very quiet 5-3 in a loaded AFC. This game has big wild-card implications, whoever moves to 6-3 will have a big edge over the losing team that moves to 5-4 and they pick up an in conference win for wild-card tiebreakers. Kansas City threw everyone off the scent with a week 1 loss to the terrible Titans. Since then they have only lost to the Broncos(by 7) and the 49ers(by 5) and are winners of 3 straight. The Bills have three wins by 3 compared to 1 for the Chiefs and haven’t been as impressive as the Chiefs have been this season.

Miami +3 OVER @Detroit- These teams are incredibly even. Strong defenses led by young up and down QB’s with plenty of weapons on offense. Detroit has the best weapon(Healthy Calvin Johnson) but Tannehill might be the better QB(right now). I’m just going to grab the points and the Dolphins, who have more wins on the road then at home.

@Baltimore -9.5 OVER Tennessee- The Titans are in the middle of a lost season and I think the Ravens take out their bad loss on the Titans at M&T Bank Stadium, where the Ravens are 3-1 and giving up less than 10 points a game.

Sunday Afternoon Games

Denver -11.5 OVER @Oakland- The Broncos finally had a letdown game(they lost to Seattle but it was close) and they should get back on track against the hapless Raiders this week

NY Giants +9.5 OVER Seattle- I can’t take the Seahawks with these high lines. They beat the Raiders by 6 last week, AT HOME!! What happened to the 12th man?? The last game in which they would have covered this spread happened a month ago when they beat Washington by 10. I just can’t, regardless of how awful the Giants have been.

@Arizona -7 OVER St.Louis- Despite the Rams being undefeated in the division and covering two out of their last three games I think the Cardinals are just a team on a mission and take care of business at home, where they are undefeated this year.

Sunday Night Game

@Green Bay -7.5 OVER Chicago- The Packers have owned the Bears in the Jay Cutler era and I don’t think this game is any different as the Packers take care of the disappointing Bears at home.

Monday Night Game

Carolina +6 OVER @Philadelphia- I’m not taking Mark Sanchez in prime-time, not yet anyway, I’m not as sold as other’s seem to be, I remember how he played for the Jets. Back-up QB’s have shined in fill in duty this year, while finishing a game or in their first start. Kirk Cousins, Colt McCoy and Sanchez have delivered wins when being thrust into the game unexpectedly. Neither McCoy or Cousins won another game and are no longer the starter.

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