Week 11 NFL Picks against the spread

It’s been a rough stretch for picks. I blew Thursday night’s game picking the Bills on twitter @FantasyZombie17 and I have sunk under .500 in recent weeks with another sub .500 week at 6-7 putting me at 71-75 for the season. The time to get it together is now! And here are this week’s picks.

Sunday Early Games(heavy slate)

Tampa Bay +7.5 OVER @Washington- This line is too high. Tampa has been playing teams roughly equal to them close and I expect this one to be closer than this line says(if Tampa doesn’t outright steal the game)

Denver -9.5 OVER @St. Louis- I’m a little worried about Manning playing a 1:00, where he isn’t great traditionally but I think the Broncos roll the hapless Rams in this one.

@Cleveland -3.5 OVER Houston- I think the Browns’ former Patriot QB beats the Texans’ former Patriot QB making his first NFL start.

Minnesota +3 OVER @Chicago- Minnesota is the better team right now and Chicago is also 0-3 at home this year(the fans boo Cutler so much it’s a home field disadvantage).

Atlanta -1 OVER @Carolina- I might be buying the Falcons division title hopes a bit too much(1 game out and all 3 of their wins are against the division), but the way Carolina has been playing recently there is no way I can pick them with confidence.

@Green Bay -5.5 OVER Philadelphia- The Packers should prove too much for the Eagles to handle in this one. The last time the Eagles played a good QB(Carson Palmer) they lost, and Aaron Rodgers is on a roll and should roll over Philly

@Kansas City -2 OVER Seattle- Kansas City is the better team and will show that their home field advantage is just as big a deal as Seattle’s.

@New York Giants +4 OVER San Francisco- If Rashad Jennings plays the Giants cover, if he sits the 49ers do.

Cincinnati +7 OVER @New Orleans- I really hate this pick but I think the Bengals at least cover if not win this game. The Bengals LOVE, LOVE LOVE letting you down when you believe in them and showing you up when you count them out, and a lot of people are out on them after last week’s bad loss.

Sunday Afternoon

Oakland +10 OVER @San Diego- Oakland played the Chargers close last time and I think they play them close again.

Detroit +1 OVER @Arizona- There is a reason this line is so low, Drew Stanton. I am definitely going to take the ferocious Lions D against Stanton and the Cards in this one

Sunday Night

New England +3 OVER @Indianapolis- Andrew Luck hasn’t beaten the Patriots yet and I am going to take New England and the points in this one off the bye, where they are 10-4 off the bye under Belichick.

Monday Night

Pittsburgh -6 OVER @Tennessee- The Steelers can’t blow consecutive gimme games, right?

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