NFL Week 14 Picks Against the Spread

After crapping the bed and going 4-12 last week I am 88-103 on the season. As usual spreads are from footballocks.com

Thursday Night

Dallas -3.5 OVER Chicago- This is a must win for Dallas if they intend to make the playoffs. Their next two games are against the Eagles and Colts and they can’t afford to lose this “easier” game. Also the Bears defense is atrocious and I don’t trust Jay Cutler, especially at home where they have only beaten Tampa Bay and the Vikings, each score 21-13 in unconvincing fashion.

Sunday Early Games

@Minnesota -6 OVER NY Jets- I’m taking the Vikings, the Jets are really bad and the Vikings just disposed of a really bad team by a bunch of points at home last week, I think they do it again here.

Indianapolis -4 OVER @Cleveland- You’re telling me I can get Indianapolis favored by only 4 against Cleveland and their QB turmoil? Yes please

NY Giants PK OVER @Tennessee- I think Tennessee is tanking more than the Giants are tanking and tank more in this one and lose? Idk both these teams are so bad I guess I’ll take the Giants

Baltimore +3 OVER @Miami- Miami showed nothing in their pathetic win against the Jets Monday night and Baltimore should bounce back after losing a game they mostly controlled last Sunday. Baltimore seems to me like the more likely playoff team than Miami, and in a game which playoff-esque complications I think the Ravens should prevail.

@Cincinnati -3 OVER Pittsburgh- When you’re out on the Bengals, take them, when you’re in on the Bengals go against them. After putting up a stinker against Tampa Bay(in a game they should have lost if not for the incredibly stupid penalty that knocked the Buccaneers out of field goal position) people are sour on the Bengals again, so I am in on them, also Pittsburgh has been all over the place this season(losses to New Orleans, Tampa Bay, Jets, Big Ben throwing for 12 TD’s in 2 weeks and their defense inconsistent.).

Carolina +9.5 OVER @New Orleans- Every time New Orleans gets a big line after playing solid the week before they blow it, I’m not trusting them this week, even against a Carolina team that looks like it has packed it in this year.

Tampa Bay +9.5 OVER @Detroit- Between this game and the Carolina/New Orleans game one of the underdogs is going to cover if not both, I don’t trust either team with that high of a spread.

St.Louis -2.5 OVER @Washington- Washington is a flaming train-wreck and I think with the current state of affairs they actually have a home-field disadvantage(disgruntled fans booing the team early). Also St. Louis has had their number in recent years and always seems to beat them, and if I can take this rolling Rams team with just 2.5 I’ll take them.

Houston -5 OVER @Jacksonville- Houston just throttled the Titans and I think they can go and keep their(unlikely) post-season dreams alive with a win over Jacksonville by a handful of points.

Sunday Afternoon Games

Seattle +1.5 OVER @Philadelphia- This will be Mark Sanchez’s biggest test as the starter of the Eagles. Seattle has played better defense recently(albeit against Drew Stanton and Colin Kaepernick, so not great QB led teams) and I STILL don’t trust Sanchez , even if the spread is this low.

San Francisco -8 OVER @Oakland- I trusted Oakland with the points last week, I will not be doing that again.

@Arizona -1 OVER Kansas City- I saw Kansas City play last week and it was awful. Alex Smith cannot throw the ball, whether it’s because of a lack of protection or his known limitations as a passer, or his jv level(outside of Dwayne Bowe) receiving corps. Arizona led Steven Jackson run on them last week but if they limit Jamaal Charles and the running game their is now way they don’t win this game.

@Denver -10 OVER Buffalo- Kyle Orton doesn’t have the firepower to keep up with Peyton Manning, that simple.

Sunday Night Game

New England -3.5 OVER San Diego- New England always plays better after a loss, and San Diego escaped with a win last week and I don’t think they do that again this week against stiffer competition

Monday Night Game

@Green Bay -12 OVER Atlanta- Aaron Rodgers at home has stats like he is playing Madden on rookie, their is no question I am taking the Packers here.

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