2016 NFL Week 1 Use ‘Em or Lose ‘Em

Use ‘Em

QB

Tyrod Taylor/Joe Flacco- Taylor and Sammy Watkins(see below) should be able to take advantage of a Ravens defense that can get burnt in the secondary, and were a plus match-up for fantasy QB’s last year(9th most favorable match-up). I see Flacco being a solid volume play. Who knows if the Ravens will be able to run the ball. They are going in with Justin Forsett(who was cut then re-signed), Javorius Allen and Terrance West. I think the Bills get the jump on them and force Flacco to throw 35+ times playing catch-up. (Double Wrong on this one, they finished way down for QB’s)

Derek Carr- The Saints were the worst defense in the league by a mile last year and until they prove otherwise they should be treated as a must start against team for players. (Hit, Carr finished as the #9 fantasy QB this week)

Jameis Winston- Winston played well against Atlanta last year, throwing and running for a TD in both games against them last year. Tampa Bay won both of those games as well. I think Winston begins his second season with another steady top 15 week. (Hit, Winston finished as the 5th best fantasy QB this week)

Robert Griffin- The Eagles gave up the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing QB’s last season and Griffin has looked good in pre-season. He’s thrown a couple long TD’s and he may be a good deep league play against the Eagles this week. (wrong on this one, even for a flier)

Kirk Cousins- Cousins seems like a good volume play this week. Matt Jones injury has put the team in disarray at the RB position with just Chris Thompson and Undrafted Rob Kelley. Pittsburgh was actually a top 5 defense against the run last year and I expect the Skins to abandon the run early and just let it fly(40+ attempts). (wrong on this one)

RB

Rashad Jennings- Jennings ran for 52 yards and a TD in last year’s season opener against the Cowboys, he could do better this year. The Cowboys are thin in their front 7 with three starters suspended to start the season and gave up the 5th most fantasy points to opposing fantasy RB’s last year. (push, Jennings was the #29 fantasy RB this week, scoring 7.5 points)

Ryan Matthews- Carson Wentz is starting his first game and the Eagles will look to their running game to support him this week. Look at what just happened with Trevor Siemian and the Broncos last night! C.J Anderson just had 24 touches and that’s what I expect for Matthews this week. Matthews can produce when given the volume to do so. (hit, Matthews was the #13 fantasy RB that week)

Latavius Murray- The Saints gave up the 3rd most favorably match-up for opposing RB’s last year, and like mentioned above, a start all against. (hit, Murray was the #16 RB this week)

WR

Sammy Watkins- Watkins could have a monster day against the Ravens secondary and start 2016 where he ended 2015, as a top 10 WR. Watkins was in the top 5 among WR fantasy points in the second half of the season and really seemed to click with Tyrod Taylor. The Ravens were the 4th most generous team to opposing wideouts last year and Watkins should take advantage of that for a good game. (Miss, Watkins was held to under 50 yards and no score)

Amari Cooper/Michael Crabtree- Saints defense was bad, really bad, historically bad last year. (Hit, Cooper was WR 13 this week and Crabtree was WR25 in standard scoring(both higher in PPR))

Brandin Cooks/Willie Snead- The Raiders were a plus match for opposing QB’s last year and these guys are Drew Brees top two targets. Cooks is the better player and more consistent player but Snead is a strong Flex. (Super Hit, Cooks led all fantasy WR’s this week and Snead was 4th)

Jordy Nelson/Randall Cobb- The Packers are better than the young Jaguars and should make that clear this week. Aaron Rodgers is going to carve them and get this offense back into 2014 form. (Double miss, Nelson salvaged his day with a TD but was still outside the top 25 WR’s and Cobb was way outside.)

Terrelle Pryor- Speaking of RG3 completing long TD’s in the pre-season. Pryor has looked really good for the Browns at WR and is starting next to Corey Coleman to start the season against a bad Eagles secondary. There could be worse deep league fliers. (hit, Pryor caught 3 passes for 68 yards)

TE

Coby Fleener- Remember last year when the Raiders didn’t know how to cover any tight ends? Yeah that could continue hear with Drew Brees throwing to one of his new weapons this year (mega miss, 1 catch for 5 yards)

Jordan Reed- In case there is any hesitation because of the Steelers let me make it clear that Reed is a week-in week0out starter at TE like Gronk. Reed is the leader of the Washington passing attack and should capitalize against a weak Steelers secondary. (miss, but only to what was expected. He finished with 60ish yards this week)

D/ST

Seattle- Miami has a lot of question marks on offense and Seattle is at home. Stick with work your best players in week 1. (hit, they were the 4th best defense this week)

Vikings- The Titans gave up the most points to opposing fantasy defenses last year, and gave up a sack in every game except one last season. The Vikings defense will look to feast on a bad offensive line and a team that has lacked consistency on offense. Mariota was in and out of the line-up last year and they have a completely new set of skill position players save for Delanie Walker. Vikings will need to lean on their defense with Sam Bradford making his first start for the team. Top 5 defense this week. (bit hit, they scored 2 TD’s and led all defenses this week)

Cardinals- Jimmy G doesn’t scare me enough to not start what is going to be a top 5 defense this year. (miss, they had an average week)

Chiefs- The Chiefs demolished the Chargers last year. They held the Chargers to 6 points TOTAL in the season series last year. I expect that to continue as the Chiefs try and separate in the AFC West this year. (big miss, they scored 0 points)

Lose ‘Em

QB

Andy Dalton/Ryan Fitzpatrick- I think this game is more defensive than people think. The Bengals will be going into this game without Tyler Eifert and depth at receiver(Brandon LaFell and Tyler Boyd replacing Marvin Jones and Mohammad Sanu). The Jets defense was really good at home last year, only allowing an opponent to score over 20 points once. The Bengals defense gave up the 2nd least amount of points per game to opponents last year and their depth in the secondary will try to contain Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker. (push, Dalton finished as QB 14 and Fitzpatrick finished as QB 17 this week)

Phillip Rivers- Rivers didn’t throw a TD pass against the Chiefs last year, scoring under 10 fantasy points in each game. (Hit, Rivers finished outside the top 20 at QB this week)

Brock Osweiler- The Bears are going to be better than people think defensively and I don’t trust Osweiler to come in and be a meaningful fantasy QB right away. (push, Osweiler finished as QB 15 this week)

RB

Arian Foster- Not trusting him in first game back against Seattle. (Hit, Foster finished outside the top 20 RB’s in standard)

DeMarco Murray- Not trusting him in his first game as a Titan against the Vikings defense. (miss, Murray finished as RB 8 this week, due to 2 receiving TD’s. He had 77 total yards though)

Robert Kelley/Matt Jones- Pittsburgh was a top 5 rush defense last year and I don’t think either will run effectively. (big hit, they were useless this week)

Jeremy Hill- I don’t think he scores, or finds much success against the Jets defense, who ranked 2nd in rush defense last season. (hit, Hill finished outside the top 20 RB’s)

Matt Forte- The Bengals were the 7th best team against the run last year and I think Forte won’t get enough while splitting with Bilal Powell do have a good game here. (miss, Forte was RB12 this week)

WR

A.J Green- Green opens up the year with a trip to Revis Island. It may not mean as much as it used to but it should still be a tough matchup for the Green. (huge stupid miss, Green was WR2 this week)

Julian Edelman- Between him coming back from injury and Jimmy G getting his first start against a tough Cardinals defense I think Edelman will be have a minimal impact this game. (hit for standard, Edelman had 7 catches for 66 yards)

Jarvis Landry- The Seahawks defense is still a rock, and one of the toughest in the league against opposing WR’s. You’re better off trying Landry next week. (hit for standard, Landry had 7 catches for 50ish yards)

Jeremy Maclin- San Diego had Maclin’s number last year. In both games last year he had 9 catches for 97 yards. The Chargers were the 4th hardest team for opposing WR’s last year and only gave up 11 TD’s to opposing WR’s last year. (miss, Maclin was WR14 this week)

Stefon Diggs- Not trusting him with Bradford in the first week. (miss, Diggs had 100+ yards)

TE

Zach Ertz- Not trusting him as much as I would have with Bradford as I am with Wentz’s debut. (push, Ertz finished as TE15 this week)

Antonio Gates- Remember how the Chiefs destroyed the Chargers last year? Yeah… (hit Gates had 20 yards and no scores this week)

D/ST

Patriots- Arizona could be the best team the Patriots play all regular season. Staying away here. (hit the Pats defense finished outside the top 15 defenses this week)

Steelers- The Skins should throw a ton on them and put up points/yards. I like them more going forward. (hit, the Steelers finished outside the top 15 defenses this week)

Raiders- They are a sleeper defense for some but I would stay away from Drew Brees and the Raiders defense in week 1. (big hit, Raiders were the 3rd worst defense this week)

Lions- The Colts will be a better offense with Andrew Luck healthy. The Lions could generate some sacks, but will get taken to task by Luck enough for a bad day. (big hit, Lions were 4th worst defense this week)

Finished week 22-16-6 with predictions

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