Week 3 Picks Against the Spread

On twitter I picked the Patriots, so starting week 3 off with a win. All lines are from Delaware as usual. I’m 15-19 going into this week, but the first few weeks are always a bit rough.

Sunday 1:00 EST

Browns +9.5 OVER @Miami- The Dolphins should’t be favored by this many points. They put up good junk time second half stats last week but the game against the Patriots had already been decided early. Cleveland looked solid against the Ravens, but Josh McCown and Corey Coleman are both hurt and going to miss this game. I see Miami winning but I don’t see them blowing out Cleveland because of problems of their own.

@Panthers -7.5 OVER Vikings- The Panthers are going to take advantage of the crappy Vikings offensive line and should beat them. The Vikings could try and come back like the 49ers did last year to cover in the end but I don’t see it happening.

Detroit +7.5 OVER @Green Bay- Green Bay only beat the Jaguars by 5 points, what makes me thing they will beat the Lions by 8? They have a lot of problems of offense right now and I think Detroit beats them outright.

@Bengals -3.5 OVER Broncos- Let’s see Trevor Siemian play on the road.

Cardinals -4.5 OVER @Bills- The Bills are free falling and the Cardinals just tore apart Tampa Bay. The west coast team playing a  1:00 game on the East coast worries me a little bit but not enough to go with the Bills.

@Jaguars +1.5 OVER Ravens- Saying the Jaguars need this more sounds stupid but it’s true. They won’t come back from 0-3. Meanwhile the Ravens may be the good bad team of the AFC. They beat the Bills and Browns(after trailing 20-0 to the Browns) and I’m not really impressed.

@Titans -1.5 OVER Raiders- The west coast team playing in a east coast city at 1:00 gets me here. These are two young teams trying to figure things out. I think the Titans surprise a lot of people and get the win here.

Afternoon Games

49ers +9.5 OVER Seattle- This is the strangest line of the year for me so far. Seattle has scored just 15 points this season and is favored by 10. I’m not seeing it, and I think the bookmakers are giving them too much respect. The 49ers shut out the Rams two weeks ago, the same Rams team that held the Seahawks to 3 points last week.

Steelers -3.5 OVER @Eagles- The Steelers are a better team than the Eagles. It’s nice that Carson Wentz beat RG3 and then Jay Cutler/Brian Hoyer to get to 2-0 but this is his first real test in the NFL.

Jets +3.5 OVER @Kansas City- I feel like the Jets just played this game against the Bengals two weeks ago. It’s going to be a tight game between two of the better AFC teams and it’ll come down to the last possession. The Jets are a healthier team right now and that’s why I am going to go with them.

Chargers +2.5 OVER @Colts- The Colts are a train wreck right now and Phillip Rivers is going to roll them. Chargers should be favored in this game tbh.

@Tampa Bay -5.5 OVER Rams- The Rams still haven’t scored a TD this season.

Sunday Night Game

Bears +7.5 OVER @Dallas- The Bears won’t have Jay Cutler for this game but Dallas shouldn’t be favored by 7 in a Dak Presscott(who is yet to throw for a TD) vs Brian Hoyer match-up.

Monday Night

@Saints -2.5 OVER Atlanta- The Saints are due a win and they’ll get one here. They have lost both games this season by a combined total of 4 points.

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