Category Archives: Findings

Week 7 Waiver Wire Pick-Ups

For this week I’m going to go over the players who I’ve already talked about, because at this point in the year the must grab FA’s are gone, but there are still plenty of players available in a good amount of leagues who can be contributors.

Owned in 70% or less of leagues

Tyrod Taylor

Dak Presscott

Mike Wallace

Eagles D/ST

Dustin Hopkins

Terelle Pryor

Michael Thomas

Owned in 50% or less of leagues

Marcus Mariota

Jay Ajayi

James White

Cole Beasley

Jamison Crowder

Hunter Henry

Matt Bryant

Caleb Sturgis

Owned in 25% or less of leagues

Kenny Britt

C.J Fiedorowicz

Cameron Brate

Josh Lambo

Week 4 Waiver Wire Pick-Ups

Must Add

Terrelle Pryor- I talked about him as a deeper league add before, but now he’s and add across the board. He did a little bit of everything Sunday, throwing for 35 yards, rushing four times for 21 yards and a TD and led the team in all receiving categories with 8 catches for 144 yards on 14 targets. With Corey Coleman out he is the only viable receiver on the roster right now, and if he stays involved in the offense in other ways he’ll be an even greater value going forward.

DeVante Parker- He has had 20 targets, 11 catches, 157 yards and a TD in each of his last two games. He’s the #2 option in the passing game behind Jarvis Landry and is a good flex option going forward.

Jordan Howard- He seemingly replaced Jeremy Langford as the Bears starting RB against the Cowboys. Langford started the game but then didn’t get any usage after the 1st quarter or so with Howard coming in. Howard had 9 carries for 45 yards and 4 catches for 47 yards on 6 targets. Compare that to Langford having 3 carries for 31 yards and 2 catches for 15 yards on 3 targets.

Cameron Brate- The Buccaneers cut Austin Seferian-Jenkins earlier in the week and Brate took advantage as the starter right away. He had 5 catches for 46 yards and two TD’s on 10 targets against the Rams and is a must own tight end going forward now that he is the lone Bucs tight end.

Orleans Darkwa- 11 touches for 62 yards and a rushing TD against the Redskins, and one Shane Vereen injury later, Darkwa finds himself the only healthy RB on the Giants. Rashad Jennings missed last week with an injury and Vereen was placed on IR earlier this week. I wouldn’t play him this week against the Vikings, but if Jennings is still hurt he will have a role in the offense.

Eagles D/ST- They’re worth stashing during the bye week. I think this a legit top 10 defense the rest of the season. They are the #2 fantasy defense through 3 weeks and have conceded 27 points in three games this season.

On the Fantasy Radar

Hunter Henry- He is the heir apparent to Antonio Gates, and his time may be coming sooner rather than later. Gates didn’t play Sunday and Henry stepped right in by catching all 5 of his targets for 76 yards. He’s a player to keep an eye on with TE being such a crapshoot this year.

Trevor Siemian- He just lit up the Bengals for 312 yards and 4 TD’s in his first ever road start and led the week at QB. For what it’s worth his next three opponents are Tampa Bay, Atlanta and San Diego, who don’t scare me at all.

Carson Wentz- I don’t know how much I buy it, but it’s working. Wentz QB10 through 3 weeks should be considered as a pick-up after the Eagles bye week.

Dak Presscott- Two rushing TD’s through 3 games, and he finall threw a passing TD as well. He’s QB11 through three weeks and is worth a go against a 49ers defense that just got beat by a limping Russell Wilson and Trevone Boykin

Eagles RB’s- Kenjon Barner, Darren Sproles and Wendell Smallwood all scored against the Steelers in the blowout win last Sunday after Ryan Matthews went down with an ankle injury. The only one I would be interested in right now would be Sproles, and mostly in PPR leagues. Sproles was the only one of the three with a catch and has a more defined role as a hybrid back in the Eagles offense. I’d need to see more from the other two before considering adding them.

Previously Mentioned

Adam Humpries- Like I said last time, he is the #2 receiver on the Buccaneers. He had 9 catches for 100 yards on 12 targets against the Rams and more importantly, had only one less target than Mike Evans.

Jameis Winston- After an atrocity against Arizona Winston was back to being a very good high volume QB against the Rams. He attempted a week leading 58 passes for 405 yards, 3 TD’s and one interception. He has Denver this week, but is a solid QB2 going forward.

Jamison Crowder- He’ a legit WR3 in PPR. He leads the Skins in catches, is tied for the team lead in targets(24 through 3 games), and showed off the wheels on a 55 yard TD from a screen pass against the Giants.

 

Week 3 Waiver Wire Pick-Ups

Another week in the books, more players reveal themselves to be fantasy relevant and roster worthy. It’s important to remember some of the guys who you didn’t want to take a chance on after one week but are still out there as well.

This Week’s Pick-Ups

Kyle Rudolph- He’s TE8 in standard scoring through two weeks with 7 catches for 96 yards and a TD. He has been the 6th most targeted tight end through two weeks as well. He’s still available in most leagues and should be owned.

Corey Coleman- He had a big game against the Ravens, racking up 100+ yards and 2 TD’s on 8 targets and showed that he can be a playmaker. He still trailed Terrelle Pryor in targets(Pryor had 10 targets) but is the more consistent player and the #1 receiver, while Pryor is more of a deep threat.

Dennis Pitta- After two broken hips and two lost seasons, he’s back. Pitta led the Ravens in targets, yards and receptions by hauling in 9 catches on 12 targets for 102 yards against the Browns.

Fozzy Whitaker/Charles Sims/Jerick McKinnon/Matt Asiata- They are on the fantasy radar after injuries to Jonathan Stewart, Doug Martin and Adrian Peterson respectively. Charles Sims stands out to me as the player with the most to gain if he becomes more of a volume play. He’s been a borderline PPR RB2/Flex and if he could get some rushing to balance his value as a receiving back he could be a legit RB2 in all formats. Whitaker takes over for Stewart and I don’t think he will out-perform Stewart, but is still a good short term option. His upside is limited by Cam Newton’s own rushing, but he could still carry volume like he did against the 49ers when he put up 131 total yards on 19 touches(16 carries for 100 yards and 3 catches on 4 targets for 31 yards) but also lost a fumble.
As for McKinnon and Asiata, I don’t think they get enough of a boost to really be fantasy relevant. Asiata had six games of 14+ carries in 2014(when Adrian Peterson was suspended) but failed to record 100+ yards in any contest. Asiata did score 9 TD’s that year though, including two games with 3 scores. McKinnon also had six games of 14+ carries in 2014 and had 100+ yards twice, but scored no TD’s that year. If I have to add one it’s Asiata, who could be find the endzone, and who I think will receive more of the load. McKinnon has a higher ceiling if he gets the volume though and should be a PPR flex back at least.

Martellus Bennett- Needs to be owned, is a legit Gronk handcuff.

Jay Ajayi/Kenyan Drake- They will split time due to the Arian Foster injury. Drake scored against the Patriots in week 2 but I expect Ajayi will play more in week 3. Worth a flier against the Browns this week.

Tyrell Williams- He’s stepped in to be the #2 receiver in San Diego and is a must own. After going for 71 yards on two catches in the opener he went for 3 catches for 61 yards and 44 of them came on a fantastic catch and run into the end zone. He tied Travis Benjamin in targets for what it’s worth.

Clive Walford- He had 6 catches for 50 yards and a TD against the Falcons, and with the current state of TE, that’s all you need to be on the radar.

On the Fantasy Radar/Deep League

Jamison Crowder- Another week, another 6 catches for Crowder. He leads all Redskins wide receivers in targets and receptions through two contests. He has more value in PPR due to his low yardage but if he can find the end zone now and then he’s a solid flex play.

Cole Beasley- He’s on Dak’s radar and that’s good enough for me right now. Beasley had another good game against the Redskins, catching 5 of his six targets for 75 yards. The thing that makes me think this is sustainable is that Beasley still leads the team in targets after two weeks, and no one else on the roster is close to him and Dez. He’s a good deep league pick-up and a WR3 in PPR.

Victor Cruz- The Giants have a three headed monster at WR right now and Cruz is the third head. OBJ is 7 targets ahead of Cruz, who is tied with Sterling Shepard for 2nd in targets with 12, converting 8 of those into catches for 125 yards and a TD in the first two weeks. He’s a solid flex going forward and could be more down the line.

Danny Amendola-Now’s the time to stash him away if you can wait two weeks until Tom Brady comes back. He scored two TD’s against the Dolphins and like Jimmy Garoppolo showed before going down, Amendola will be involved in this offense when it’s humming.

Kenny Britt- He’s the #1 receiver on perhaps the worst passing attack in the NFL. His 161 receiving yards through two games is 19th best among all receivers. He’s a solid deep league or PPR add like he was last year.

Adam Humphries- Is actually the #2 receiver in Tampa Bay. He has more catches and yards on two less targets than Vincent Jackson who is better in PPR.

 

Week 2 Waiver Wire Pick-Ups

Must Add

QB

Matthew Stafford- Maybe it’s the Colts shoddy defense, or maybe Stafford is going to be a top 10 QB again. He had a great second half last year and squeaked into the top 10 fantasy QB’s and started 2016 off the same way. He was the 4th best QB in week 1 and the 6th best player overall. He may not be universally owned but needs to be.

Matt Ryan- If you need immediate help for the position I would give Ryan a shot. His next two opponents are the Raiders and Saints, who just finished a 35-34 shootout this week, giving up 423 yards and 4 TD’s to Drew Brees and 319 yards and a TD to Derek Carr. He may not be a good long term option because of his consistency problems but I would imagine he is a top half QB at the least the next two weeks.

RB

Spencer Ware- He is Jamaal Charles. Ware did everything for the Chiefs at RB against the Chargers. He had 18 touches(11 carries, 7 catches on 8 targets) for 199 total yards and a TD. Charcandrick West had 9 touches( 3 carries, 6 catches on 6 targets) and was clearly the change of pace to Ware. As long as Charles is out Ware is a must start and a must own.

Theo Riddick- He’s finally usable in standard! Those who play PPR are probably familiar with Theo Riddick but not everyone may be. He’s the primary receiving back for the Lions. He scored a TD on the ground and in the air in week 1 and Ameer Abdullah only had 5 more touches than him(all carries) which is encouraging. Riddick has been a reliable receiver for a while now but if he can get more volume(especially in the running game) he could be a very good fantasy option going forward.

WR

Willie Snead- Snead exploded to start the year against the Raiders with 9 catches on 9 targets for 172 yards and a TD. Snead was used heavily in the game and had just as many targets as Brandin Cooks(who also had a huge game). Snead is available in a few leagues, but as a starter on the Saints offense needs to be rostered in all leagues.

Mohammad Sanu- Just like Ryan above Sanu has a potential to be a good part of your line-up now. Sanu equaled Julio Jones with 8 targets and caught 5 of them for eighty yards and a TD. He got hurt at the end of the game but if he is a full go he could be a strong flex against the Saints and Raiders.

Mike Wallace- He’s going to be the deep threat of this offense, and try to fill the gap left by Torrey Smith a few years ago. Wallace caught a 66 yard TD which, which was the bulk of his day, but those long TD’s are enough for fantasy football. He ended up with 4 touches for 102 yards on the day(1 carry for 11 yards and 2 other catches for 25 yards). Steve Smith and Kamar Aiken are more possession receivers and Perriman is still just starting to play, Wallace could be the best Ravens receiver this year.

Will Fuller/Tajae Sharpe- Both rookies established themselves as starters in the NFL with good week 1 performances. Fuller had the bigger day, getting targeted more than DeAndre Hopkins and ending with five catches on eleven targets for 101 yards and a long TD. I’m curious to see if Fuller, and the Texans offense in general, can continue their quality play against better teams than the Bears but he’s worth an add. Sharpe didn’t score but established himself as the #1 receiving option on the Titans, for what that’s worth. Sharpe had a team leading 7 catches on 11 targets for 76 yards against a good Vikings defense in his debut. Sharpe and the Titans will only play two teams(the Texans and Packers) that finished above .500 last year through the remainder of the fantasy football regular season, and they could find success against some of those bad defenses.

Travis Benjamin- With Keenan Allen tearing his ACL in the opener, Benjamin is now the de facto #1 WR in San Diego, which is always worth an add.

TE

Eric Ebron- He caught all 5 of his targets for 46 yards and a score on Sunday, and looks to be a consistent part of the Lions offense this year. Tight end feels really thin this year and Ebron could sneak his way to a top 12 year if he can stay involved in the offense like this.

Dwayne Allen/Jack Doyle- They both lead the position in scoring after Sunday with a combined 3 TD’s, 10 targets, 7 catches and 88 yards between them. If you remember when Allen and Coby Fleener did this dance then you’ll remember they were both usable for fantasy during that stretch. I lean towards Allen, who did have more targets, catches and yards, but if Doyle keeps his nose for the end-zone he can be a solid option at tight end.

Special Teams

Vikings D/ST- They scored two touchdowns and single-handedly won the game for the Vikings. They’ll have to play this good this year to support whatever play they are getting at QB this year from Shaun Hill/Sam Bradford.

Blair Walsh- He wasn’t particularly accuarte(he missed two field goals and an extra point) but with this offense figuring itself out with Shaun Hill at QB, he got the volume to have a good day, and I think the volume will persist. Adrian Peterson had a really bad game, I expect him to play better and score TD’s, but the Vikings will be kicking a lot of field goals this year on stalled drives in opposing territory.

On the Fantasy Radar

 

QB

Jameis Winston- He threw for 4 TD’s against the Falcons in his debut and is a good pick-up for a QB needy team. Winston was the most consistent player in fantasy last year, going over 20 points just once but never going below 10 fantasy points. If he continues to progress he could finish as a top 12 QB.

Alex Smith- He’s been a high floor, very low ceiling QB in fantasy during his time with the Chiefs, but had a big fantasy day during the Chiefs historic comeback against the Chargers. I’m skeptical he keeps it up, mostly because Smith threw the most passes of any QB in week 1 and he is usually not a big volume QB. He’s a good deep league add, and he’s worth keeping an eye on to see if he can be more than that this year.

Carson Wentz- He looked sharp against the Browns, throwing for 278 yards and two scores with no turnovers. However, it’s the Browns and we need to see more before he can be trusted. Monday night’s game against the Bears will be a better test.

RB

Jalen Richard- He exploded for a 75 TD run on his first carry of the game and ended up with 4 more touches(two carries and two catches) for 20 more yards. He could figure to remain a part of the running game with Latavius Murray and DeAndre Washington.

WR

Nelson Agholor- For whatever it’s worth, he’s the #2 WR on the Eagles. He had 4 catches for 57 yards and a TD on 5 targets against the Browns, and only Jordan Matthews and Zach Ertz received more targets than Agholor. Like Wentz, I want to see what the Eagles do against a team that isn’t the Browns though.

Eli Rogers- He stepped into the #2 receiver role for the Steelers Monday night with 6 catches for 59 yards and a TD on 7 targets. Between Rogers, Sammie Coates and Markus Wheaton I’m not sure who will be the 3rd receiving option in the offense behind Antonio Brown and DeAngelo Williams/Le’Veon Bell but Rogers got the jump on it with a good first game.

Jermaine Kearse- He’s been a solid deep league play for a while now but it bears repeating, he is the #2 receiver in Seattle, despite all the Tyler Lockette hype. Kearse had five catches for 57 yards on 7 targets compared to Lockette catching 3 of his 8 targets for 17 yards.

Quincy Enunwa- He emerged as the 3rd receiver on the Jets, which is something they didn’t have last year. He tied Brandon Marshall with a team leading 8 targets and caught seven of them for 54 yards and a TD. Marshall and Eric Decker(along with Matt Forte) will still get their share of the receiving work, but a good starting performance could be a sign of fantasy relevance for Enunwa.

Tyrell Williams- With Keenan Allen out and Travis Benjamin assuming the #1 WR role someone else has to step up to fill the #2 slot, and that might be Williams. He was targeted 5 times and caught two passes for 71 yards against the Chiefs. He might be worth a deep league add and is on the radar now.

Davante Adams- He caught three passes for 50 yards and a TD against the Jaguars, and I’m intrigued. With Jordy Nelson out of the line-up the expectation was that Randall Cobb and Adams would step in seamlessly and take over those roles, that didn’t happen. Now with Nelson back however, Cobb and Adams are going to get better match-ups and can capitalize against them. I would keep my eye on it.

Jeremy Kerley- He led the 49ers in targets(11), receptions(7) and receiving yards(61) in their first game against the Rams. If he is the #1 option on the 49ers he will have some fantasy value, it’s still hard to tell however with Torrey Smith and Quinton Patton also being involved.

TE

Jesse James- James was one of only 5 Steelers who were targeted against the Redskins, and was the only TE on the roster who was thrown to. He caught 5 of his 7 targets for 31 yards, but should be the starting TE on a good offense going forward.

Kyle Rudolph- TE looked really ugly in week 1, with only four players scoring 10+ points in standard scoring. For what it’s worth Rudolph was tied for 4th among TE’s in targets in week 1 with 8, and caught four of those targets for 65 yards against the Titans. Shaun Hill targeted Rudolph only one less time than his leading target Stefon Diggs. Rudolph has been a TD dependent fantasy player in years past, but if he can start putting together some more consistency then he could be a solid option at TE.

2016 Fantasy Football Sleepers

QB

Jameis Winston- The apparent model of fantasy consistency. Winston hit double digit points in every game last season but only had one 20+ point game. Winston was also top 10 in rushing attempts and yards for a QB last year and only Cam Newton scored more rushing TD’s from the quarterback position. Winston is being heavily overlooked in pre-draft with a lot of the 2nd tier QB class(Eli Manning, Kirk Cousins, Derek Carr, Tony Romo, Phillip Rivers, Blake Bortles, Andy Dalton etc.) and some people even rate rookies and players with less experience over him like Paxton Lynch and Brock Osweiler. Winston should only get better with a year under his belt and the retention of Dirk Koetter as offensive playcaller. For a guy who is very clearly outside the top 15 at QB you could do a lot worse if you really wait at the position or need a reliable back-up.

Marcus Mariota- He’s the complete opposite from Winston as a fantasy commodity. While Winston is the model of consistency Mariota is an all or nothing risk/reward player. Out of the 11 full games(he missed 4 and got hurt early and left against the Patriots) he played last year Mariota had four 20+ point games, including two 30+ point games. He also proved to be a threat with his legs last year as well, coming in with 252 yards and 2 rushing TD’s in the 11 full games played on only 34 attempts(which comes out to a 7.4 YPC). The Titans aren’t expected to be good but Mariota is definitely worth a flier if he can stay healthy.

RB

Isaiah Crowell- With new head coach Hue Jackson coming to Cleveland and talking up Crowell the obvious player to compare him to is Jeremy Hill. If Crowell could be more consistent instead of just showing flashes(Week 14 against SF) then he could be a nice steal late for owners. He’s going to be the primary ball carrier of a run heavy team with new QB Robert Griffin and at this point in the draft that’s always valuable.

Giovanni Bernard- Consider the following: There were only three players who recorded 49+ catches and 150+ carries in the NFL last year. The first two were Devonta Freeman and Mark Ingram, the 3rd? Why Giovanni Bernard of course. Bernard is a good PPR back at the least but could be intriguing in standard as well. He’s carved out a good role for himself on the Bengals and if Jeremy Hill struggles out of the gate again(compounded with his playoff fumble) it wouldn’t be absurd to see Bernard to see an uptick in touches. Bernard really got the rough end of the stick in fantasy last year because he only scored 2 TD’s. If he could see more paydirt you’re not going to find another 200 touch RB this late in the draft.

James White- Just a dart throw here, but I think this is the “Patriots RB you want to own”. White scored six TD’s in the last seven week of the year and played primarily as the receiving back in the offense to complement Blount. If for any reason Dion Lewis isn’t ready to start the year White could be solid flier late.

Duke Johnson Jr/Theo Riddick- Both these guys are late end PPR backs. Riddick had 80 catches last year for 697 yards and 3 scores on 99 targets and Johnson had 61 catches for 534 yards and 2 scores on 74 targets. Johnson has more upside as an actual runner, where he had 104 carries for 379 yards last year, as he’s only a 2nd year player. Riddick barely gets the ball as a runner, with only 43 carries for 133 yards last year. Johnson has the room for growth and the standard scoring appeal that could make him a steal but both will be valuable zero RB players in PPR.

WR

Mike Wallace/Kamar Aiken- One of these guys is going to hit. I was high on Aiken coming into last season too and I feel the same coming into this year. He’s undervalued because he isn’t as attractive an option as Perriman(whoops hurt again) or Steve Smith(who balled out before getting hurt but a 35+ year old receiver off an ACL isn’t great). Aiken was the reliable target in the offense last year and made some noise when given the volume. I expect him to be the possession guy in the Ravens passing game again this year. As for Wallace, he’s struggled ever since leaving Pittsburgh and I know fantasy owners have been burned by him in his last two stops. This is the perfect fit for him though. Joe Flacco sorely missed Torrey Smith in the Ravens offense last year and Wallace is as good(if not better) than Smith as a deep threat. I expect him to have a couple 60+ yard TD catches this year and maybe can carve out a DeSean Jackson type year at best.

Tavon Austin/Kenny Britt- Jared Goff has the throw the ball to someone right? Austin is a weird hybrid player who as is involved in the passing game as he is in the running game. He had 52 carries and receptions last season for 907 all purpose yards and 9 total TD’s. He’s much more valuable if he has RB eligibility in a PPR league but could find value in standard if he becomes Goff’s go to guy. Britt on the other hand is an OK wide receiver who caught a lot of long passes last year. If Goff establishes a connection he cold end up being serviceable.

Robert Woods- He’s a competent NFL receiver, and with Watkins injury he may be thrust into the #1 role to start the season. There really isn’t anyone else on the depth chart that would scare you to take touches away from him if Watkins misses time.

Laquon Treadwell- Outside of AP there isn’t much on the Vikings offense that looks fantasy relevant, but I have some hopes for Treadwell. If you remember the nice string of games Stefon Diggs put together last year, it showed that Bridgewater can hone in on a receiver enough to make him fantasy relevant. Treadwell is a superior talent to Diggs by season’s end he should find himself as the Vikings #1 receiver. I wouldn’t be shocked if he ended the year with 1,000+ yards receiving with a handful of TD’s by being the #1 guy. Bridgewater should have more time to throw with a healthy, upgraded offensive line and Treadwell and the rest of the offense should benefit from it.

TE

Zach Miller- He was great down the stretch when Martellus Bennett was out and now that Bennett is in New England it’s Miller time! Between week 8 and 15 Miller had either a TD or 6 targets in all but one game. He clearly established a connection with Jay Cutler and that momentum should carry over making him a good flier at TE this year.

Cameron Brate- Someone needs to emerge as the #2 receiving option in Tampa Bay, and honestly why couldn’t it be Brate? While ASJ was out last year Brate was solid filling in for him and ended up with a solid year. He’s a good player to target if you are taking TE as your last pick. He’ll be competing with Vincent Jackson, Louis Murphy and ASJ for targets as the #2 guy and if he edges out ASJ for the starting job he could pop.

2015 Free Agency Fantasy Stock Watch

Going Up

Jets D/ST, Bengals D/ST, Rams D/ST- I really liked what these teams did with their defenses in free agency. The Rams and Bengals were already pretty high profile fantasy defenses but I think with the Rams adding Nick Fairley to their already stacked front 7 and the Bengals quietly getting back Michael Johnson to improve their pass rush after Tampa Bay released him are significant moves. The Jets also added an entire secondary(Revis, Cromartie and Buster Skrine) and should improve from being tied for last in interceptions last season and giving up a 31:6 TD to interception ratio.

Jarvis Landry, Alshon Jeffery, DeAndre Hopkins, Jordan Matthews-  All of these guys are in the same general situation. Due to player movement on their teams they are now the #1 receiver on the roster(obviously pre-draft).The Dolphins gutted their WR corps by trading Mike Wallace and letting Brian Hartline and Brandon Gibson leave in free agency. That quietly leaves Landry as the default #1 receiver in Miami with Kenny Stills next to him(also moving up a little). Jeffery and Hopkins no longer have to deal with Brandon Marshall or Andre Johnson taking targets and production away from them and fantasy owners don’t have to worry about that either. Jordan Matthews is much more speculative than the other 3 but I think he becomes the #1 receiver on the Eagles.

Mark Ingram- The Saints offense is changing. They parted ways with Kenny Stills, Jimmy Graham, Pierre Thomas(remains unsigned) and guard Ben Grubbs and added CJ Spiller. I think the Saints will have to be more run oriented after getting rid of those receiving threats and Ingram proved, when healthy, that he could shoulder a heavy load and be productive with it.

Darren McFadden, Sam Bradford- Sub-par to bad players in great situations. The Eagles QB has had fantasy value during the Chip Kelly era and the Cowboys are claiming to be committed to the run despite losing DeMarco Murray. Joseph Randle may compete with McFadden for the starter role.

Russell Wilson- Hard to think that Wilson could be getting better but whenever you add a weapon like Jimmy Graham to your offense that’s huge. I also think keeping Marshawn Lynch was the most important thing for Wilson’s value, I am one of the people who is skeptical to see what he would do without Lynch in the backfield.

Owen Daniels- Julius Thomas is gone and Daniels is following Gary Kubiak again to probably be the #1 tight end in Denver. Virgil Green is also a player to watch as the Broncos resigned him and he may compete for that spot.

Going Down

Drew Brees- He finished 6th among QB’s last year in scoring but if you owned Brees you knew how frustrating he was to have on your team last year. He only had five games all year without an interception(compared to 8 in 2013), only threw for 300+ yards in 8 games(compared to 11 games in 2013), He only had five 20+ fantasy point games(compared to 7 games of 20+ fantasy points in 2013 and 4 games with 19 fantasy points in ESPN standard scoring) and really killed you in the fantasy playoffs with just one game with more than 10 fantasy points in ESPN standard scoring. Tack this on with the fact that Brees is 36 and the Saints just traded away Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills and Brees is clearly trending downwards.

Jimmy Graham- While Graham’s presence in Seattle should help the offense overall, I think it will hurt his fantasy value. Seattle has ranked last in passing attempts since Russell Wilson has become the QB in 2012 and that doesn’t bode well for Graham. With less opportunities to make plays I think Graham slides way down the draft board.

Nick Foles- Foles was due for regression from his unbelievable 2013 season and he did just that during the games he played in 2014. He played exactly one turnover free game in 2014(against the putrid Washington defense) and posted a 13:10 touchdown to interception ratio through seven full games and what he played of the Texans game where he got hurt. Now he is trading down in talent in terms of receivers to the Rams? No thanks. Unless the Rams acquire better receivers than just Kenny Britt, Brian Quick(recovering from a torn ACL) and Tavon Austin I’m not sure how Foles is anything other than a late round flier.

Lions D/ST- Losing Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley is going to affect this defense negatively, it’s just a fact. Getting Haloti Ngata to try and replace them helps but it’s not enough.

Emmanuel Sanders- This one is a little tricky because Sanders is so good I think he may be able to buck this trend. Under Gary Kubiak the #2 receiver in the offense has not been fantasy relevant, ever. There would be games here and there from guys like Jacoby Jones, Kevin Walter, whoever but it didn’t last. Even last season when he was with the Ravens Steve Smith(the #1 receiver) had 42 more targets than Torrey Smith. Torrey Smith’s saving grace for fantasy last year was his 11 TD’s but he posted career lows in receptions, targets and receiving yards, while in Kubiak’s offense. It’s a trend worth watching to see how it affects Sanders.

Jeremy Maclin- Alex Smith threw 0 TD’s to wide receivers last year.

Rashad Jennings- He wasn’t healthy last year and now the team has a logjam at running back with the addition of Shane Vereen, who should at least carve out a role as a passing downs back. Curious as to what his role will be this upcoming season but I imagine he won’t be the lead back as he was when healthy last season.

Julius Thomas- Welcome to Jacksonville! Thomas cashed out in free agency by signing with the Jaguars and downgraded QB’s from Peyton Manning to Blake Bortles. That’s going to affect his production period.

Week 17 Waiver Wire Plug and Plays

After being swamped with the day job last week I wasn’t able to write a waiver wire pick-up article. This week I am going to write a waiver wire article, but a little differently than normal. I’m going to discuss players that are worth playing in this final season that aren’t owned in a lot of leagues(since if you aren’t playing them it’s not worth picking them up).

RB

Matt Asiata- He has been getting a heavy workload the last 4 weeks with at least 18+ touches during that span and gets the putrid Bears defense this week, a must start for opposing running backs.

Doug Martin- He has been putrid all year and he meets the equally putrid Saints rush defense. They have given up 786 total yards and 4 TD’s to opposing running backs the last 4 weeks and Martin could conceivably not suck against them.

Bishop Sankey- He had his best game of the season against the Colts with 57 total yards and a TD. He had 15 touches last week and if he gets that workload again he could be productive with it against the Colts. That says a lot about where you are if you are starting Bishop Sankey or considering him, but you could do worse.

Branden Oliver-We’ll see if Ryan Matthews plays, but if he doesn’t Oliver could be another desperation RB2. He was solid last week with 81 total yards on 16 touches against the 49ers and while Kansas City has stopped the bleeding in their run defense the last two games(141 yards and one rushing TD in the last two games) they had given up a stretch of 6 straight games with 100+ rushing yards to opposing backs.

QB

Cam Newton- He is likely going to be a top 5 QB for me this week, and he hasn’t been reclaimed in every league since his car accident, so grab him if you can.

Ryan Tannehill- If you want to play the guy who scored the most points last week, this is your guy. He gets the Jets this week and struggled against them last time out but if he can maintain a little of the success he had against the Vikings he would be a good play.

Eli Manning- Eli hasn’t played great but he gets to throw to Odell Beckham Jr.(who is amazing) and he gets an Eagles defense that has given up no TD’s to opposing QB’s or multiple TD’s to opposing QB’s this year(no 1 TD games and three 0 TD games). I could definitely see Eli going either way but I think it’s more likely he plays well.

Teddy Bridgewater- The Bears defense is terrible part 2. They may have held Bridgewater in check last time they played him but I think he goes off in this game, if nothing else he is a low risk limited upside QB option.

Jay Cutler- With Jimmy Clausen concussed it looks like Cutler will play the final game of the season. He is high risk high reward but after seeing Ryan Tannehill torch the Vikings you would think he has a good shot at it as well.

WR

Marques Colston- He has been very steady since week 12 with 70 yards or a TD in every game during that stretch. He plays the Buccaneers who are just as done with this season as the Saints are after clinching the #1 overall draft pick.

Greg Jennings/Charles Johnson- The Bears defense sucks part 3.

Eddie Royal- I was wrong about him last week as he had 90ish yards and a TD. He gets the Chiefs this week and both him and Malcolm Floyd could be startable if you are desperate.

Marquess Wilson- He has been usable(as a flex) since being thrust into the starting role and gets a solid match-up against the Vikings this week, you could do worse and he is available just about everywhere.

D/ST

49ers D/ST- Ryan Lindley you say?

Texans D/ST- Starting a defense against the Jaguars is always a good idea

Ravens D/ST- No Johnny Manziel, no Brian Hoyer? Sign me up