Category Archives: NFL Lines

Week 7 NFL Picks Against the Spread

After going 6-9 last week I’m 39-53 on the year. Time to make or break or else I’m going to be worse than a coin flip.

Thursday Night Game

Bears +7.5 OVER @Packers

Sunday Morning Game

Giants -2.5 OVER Rams(in London)

Sunday 1:00 EST(God’s Time)

Ravens PICK OVER @JETS

Saints +6.5 OVER @Chiefs

Vikings -2.5 OVER @Eagles

@Lions -1.5 OVER Redskins

@Bengals -9.5 OVER Browns

Raiders PICK OVER @Jaguars

Colts +3.5 OVER @Titans

Bills -3.5 OVER @Dolphins

Sunday Afternoon Games

Chargers +6.5 OVER @Atlanta

@49ers +1.5 OVER Tampa Bay

Patriots -7.5 OVER @Steelers

Sunday Night Game

Seattle +1.5 OVER @Arizona

Monday Night Game

Houston +7.5 OVER @Denver

Advertisements

Week 6 NFL Picks Against the Spread

After going 8-6 last week I’m at 33-44 for the year. As always the lines are from Delaware.

Thursday Night Game

Broncos -3.5 OVER @San Diego- I think the Broncos kill off the Chargers season here. While the Chargers’ blunders have blown three leads in the 4th quarter I think they will flat out lose here.

Sunday 1:00 EST(God’s Time)

Panthers -3.5 OVER @Saints(if Cam plays)

Steelers -7.5 OVER @Miami

@Patriots -9.5 OVER Bengals

Jaguars +2.5 OVER @Chicago

@Lions -3.5 OVER Rams

49ers +8.5 OVER @Bills

@Titans -7.5 OVER Browns- The Browns might be onto their 4th QB this year with Kessler getting hurt.

@Giants -2.5 OVER Ravens- Eli over Flacco in a game of inconsistent QB’s.

Eagles -2.5 OVER @Washington- Washington is playing sloppy with the ball and the Eagles will make them pay for their turnovers.

Sunday Afternoon Games

Cowboys +4.5 OVER @Packers- Green Bay isn’t as good as their record shows, the Cowboys will run over them.

@Raiders PICK OVER Chiefs

Falcons +6.5 OVER @Seattle- They just covered and won in Denver and I’m taking the points again here.

Sunday Night

Colts +3.5 OVER @Houston

Monday Night

Jets +8.5 OVER @Arizona

 

 

 

Week 5 Picks Against the Spread

After a nice bounce back week I’m 25-38 on the season.

Thursday Game

@SF +4.5 OVER Arizona

Sunday 1:00 EST(God’s time)

@Vikings -6.5 OVER Houston

@Miami -3.5 OVER Titans

Redskins +4.5 OVER @Ravens

Patriots -10.5 OVER @Browns

@Steelers -7.5 OVER Jets

Eagles -3.5 OVER @Detroit

Bears +4.5 OVER @Colts

Sunday Afternoon Games

@Broncos -5.5 OVER Atlanta

Bills +2.5 OVER @Rams

Chargers +3.5 OVER @Raiders

Bengals -1.5 OVER @Dallas

Sunday Night Game

Giants +7.5 OVER @Packers

Monday Night Game

Tampa Bay +7 OVER @Carolina(if Cam doesn’t play)

Week 4 Quick Picks

Using the lines from Delaware as always. I gotta get back on track so let’s just bang these out with no drivel. After an abysmal week 3 my record on the year is 18-31

Sunday Morning London Game

Jaguars +2.5 OVER Colts

Sunday 1:00 EST(God’s time)

Browns +8.5 OVER @Washington

Lions -2.5 OVER @Bears

Titans +6.5 OVER @Houston

Raiders +3.5 OVER @Ravens

Panthers -3.5 OVER @Falcons

Buffalo +6 OVER @New England

@NYJ +2.5 OVER Seattle

Sunday Afternoon Games

Broncos -3.5 OVER @Tampa Bay

@Cardinals -8.5 OVER Rams

Saints +3.5 OVER @San Diego

@49ers +2.5 OVER Dallas

Sunday Night Game

@Pittsburgh -5.5 OVER Chiefs

Monday Night Game

@Vikings -4.5 OVER NYG

Week 3 Picks Against the Spread

On twitter I picked the Patriots, so starting week 3 off with a win. All lines are from Delaware as usual. I’m 15-19 going into this week, but the first few weeks are always a bit rough.

Sunday 1:00 EST

Browns +9.5 OVER @Miami- The Dolphins should’t be favored by this many points. They put up good junk time second half stats last week but the game against the Patriots had already been decided early. Cleveland looked solid against the Ravens, but Josh McCown and Corey Coleman are both hurt and going to miss this game. I see Miami winning but I don’t see them blowing out Cleveland because of problems of their own.

@Panthers -7.5 OVER Vikings- The Panthers are going to take advantage of the crappy Vikings offensive line and should beat them. The Vikings could try and come back like the 49ers did last year to cover in the end but I don’t see it happening.

Detroit +7.5 OVER @Green Bay- Green Bay only beat the Jaguars by 5 points, what makes me thing they will beat the Lions by 8? They have a lot of problems of offense right now and I think Detroit beats them outright.

@Bengals -3.5 OVER Broncos- Let’s see Trevor Siemian play on the road.

Cardinals -4.5 OVER @Bills- The Bills are free falling and the Cardinals just tore apart Tampa Bay. The west coast team playing a  1:00 game on the East coast worries me a little bit but not enough to go with the Bills.

@Jaguars +1.5 OVER Ravens- Saying the Jaguars need this more sounds stupid but it’s true. They won’t come back from 0-3. Meanwhile the Ravens may be the good bad team of the AFC. They beat the Bills and Browns(after trailing 20-0 to the Browns) and I’m not really impressed.

@Titans -1.5 OVER Raiders- The west coast team playing in a east coast city at 1:00 gets me here. These are two young teams trying to figure things out. I think the Titans surprise a lot of people and get the win here.

Afternoon Games

49ers +9.5 OVER Seattle- This is the strangest line of the year for me so far. Seattle has scored just 15 points this season and is favored by 10. I’m not seeing it, and I think the bookmakers are giving them too much respect. The 49ers shut out the Rams two weeks ago, the same Rams team that held the Seahawks to 3 points last week.

Steelers -3.5 OVER @Eagles- The Steelers are a better team than the Eagles. It’s nice that Carson Wentz beat RG3 and then Jay Cutler/Brian Hoyer to get to 2-0 but this is his first real test in the NFL.

Jets +3.5 OVER @Kansas City- I feel like the Jets just played this game against the Bengals two weeks ago. It’s going to be a tight game between two of the better AFC teams and it’ll come down to the last possession. The Jets are a healthier team right now and that’s why I am going to go with them.

Chargers +2.5 OVER @Colts- The Colts are a train wreck right now and Phillip Rivers is going to roll them. Chargers should be favored in this game tbh.

@Tampa Bay -5.5 OVER Rams- The Rams still haven’t scored a TD this season.

Sunday Night Game

Bears +7.5 OVER @Dallas- The Bears won’t have Jay Cutler for this game but Dallas shouldn’t be favored by 7 in a Dak Presscott(who is yet to throw for a TD) vs Brian Hoyer match-up.

Monday Night

@Saints -2.5 OVER Atlanta- The Saints are due a win and they’ll get one here. They have lost both games this season by a combined total of 4 points.

Week 2 NFL Picks Against the Spread

Last week I got off to a rough start to the year, going 6-10 with last week’s picks. Week 1 is always rough though and it can only get better going forward. As usual the lines are using the Delaware lines.

Thursday Night Game

Jets PICK OVER @Bills- The Bills offense sputtered against the Ravens last week, scoring only 7 points. Meanwhile the Jets played the Bengals tough in what seemed like a playoff team between two really good team. Oh yeah and Sammy Watkins is hurt again. I think the Jets roll the Bills here and get their first win of the year HIT

Sunday Early Games 1:00 EST

@Lions -5.5 OVER Titans- The Lions offense grilled the Colts last week and they picked up a nice road win. The Titans imploded against the Shaun Hill led Vikings and gave up two TD’s to the Vikings defense. The Vikings didn’t score an offensive TD and the Titans shut down Adrian Peterson and they still lost. I’m rolling with the Lions, even though I think the line is slightly high. MISS

@Browns +6.5 OVER Ravens- If Josh McCown is the starter I’m buying the Browns. He beat the Ravens last year and threw for almost 400 yards against them. If anyone else starts I’m taking the Ravens HIT

Bengals +3.5 OVER @Steelers- Between these two teams, points come at a premium. The Bengals were seriously tested by the Jets last week and pulled off the win, while the Steelers rolled the Redskins. Both teams will get up for this game, with plenty of bad blood between them. I like the Bengals to take the division and that starts with getting a win here. MISS

@Carolina -13.5 OVER 49ers- The 49ers did this last year, crushing the Vikings in the Monday night opener last year, then promptly losing 18-43 to the Steelers the following week. Carolina had a tough loss against Denver(again) and will get back on track at home, where they were undefeated last year. HIT

@Washington -2.5 OVER Dallas- Washington is still winless against .500 teams or better in the “YOU LIKE THAT” era, but Dallas is a sub .500 team. Dak was super game manager in his debut against the Giants and Zeke Elliot was held in check too. The Steelers blew out the Skins in their home opener but Dallas isn’t that level of team. MISS

@Patriots -6.5 OVER Miami- I bet against the Patriots last week and won’t be doing it again. Miami played tough against Seattle last week, but I think that says more about the state of the Seahawks offense than Miami. HIT

Chiefs +2.5 OVER @Houston- Remember last year in the playoffs? Yeah. I don’t think the addition of Brock Osweiler will be the fix all for a team that was thoroughly dominated in all aspects of the game. The Chiefs will also be riding the momentum of winning without some of their players in dramatic fashion against the Chargers. MISS

Sunday Afternoon Games

Jaguars +3.5 OVER @San Diego- Frankly, San Diego shouldn’t be favored in this game. They lost Keenan Allen for the year(again) and are now 1-8 in their last nine home games(where because of the will they won’t they leave thing, it’s almost a home field disadvantage). The Jaguars played the Packers tough last week and this is my lock of the week. MISS

@Oakland -4.5 OVER Atlanta- The Falcons are a mess. They have no idea what they are doing at RB between Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman and their defense is atrocious. The Raiders showed gusto in going for two and getting the win in New Orleans last week in what was the best game of the weekend. I’m taking the Raiders to get to 2-0 against a sputtering Falcons team. MISS

Colts +6.5 OVER @Denver- The Colts seem to have Denver’s number. They have beaten them the last two times they played(last year in the regular season and the playoffs the year before). I think 6.5 points is a lot for Trevor Siemian. I’m not exactly sure how the Colts will do it, but I see them covering. MISS

@Rams +6.5 OVER Seattle- This game is a trap game for Seahawks year after year now and I see it happening again. Their offense looked crappy against a pretty bad Dolphins team, which exposed the problems on the Seattle offensive line. The Rams looked pathetic against the 49ers but they always get up for Seattle. HIT

@Arizona -6.5 OVER Tampa Bay- The Cardinals get back on track in this game. The Patriots threw them stuff they weren’t ready for but I see Tampa Bay having a hard time replicating the success they had against Atlanta in the desert. HIT

Sunday Night Game

Packers -2.5 OVER @Vikings- Aaron Rodgers vs Shaun Hill/Sam Bradford? The Vikings defense is great but if they don’t get anything out of Adrian Peterson this could get ugly quick. MISS

Monday Night Game

Eagles +3.5 OVER @Chicago- The Eagles defense is the best unit in this game and they will make it hard for Jay Cutler and company to get things going. I’m unsure if Carson Wentz will pro it as much as did against hapless Cleveland, but I don’t think he will struggle against the Bears defense that let Brock Osweiler look good last week.  HIT

7-9 FOR THE WEEK 15-19 OVERALL

NFL 2016 Week 1 Picks

Another year of football, another year of picking slightly over .500 against the spread. The lines are from Delaware, because they are the east coast book.

Season Opener

Panthers -3.5 OVER @Broncos
I don’t want to fall for the Panthers twice and lose but I think they are the better team 7 months later. Peyton Manning was composed during the playoffs, and Trevor Sieman is going to start the first game of his career. Cam and the Panthers should want to start the season off with a win against the team beat them in last year’s Super Bowl. Even though it’s on the road I’m going with Cam to get revenge Thursday.

Sunday September 11th

1:00 Games

Vikings -2.5 OVER @Titans
Bradford is ok enough to hand the ball off to Adrian Peterson 30 times and the let the defense make plays. Mariota and a new look Titans offense will have to click to beat one of the NFL’s best defenses. If it was -3 I wouldn’t take it but the Vikings can win this game by a field goal.

Bills +3.5 OVER @Baltimore
I think these teams are very similar, and I’m taking the points. The Ravens are usually a good team at home ,but they have a lot to prove in this home opener. Joe Flacco(ACL), Steve Smith Sr.(ACL) and Justin Forsett(arm) are all coming back from injury and yet to play Kenneth Dixon and Breshad Perriman are still hurt and have yet to prove themselves at the NFL level. The Bills offense could be deadly this year if their core can stay healthy. Tyrod Taylor, LeSean McCoy and Sammy Watkins all missed time last year. The Ravens were really hit by injury last year but I don’t think that bounce back to be a good team this year. They still need major pieces on both sides of the ball to regain form.

@Saints OVER PICK  Raiders
Too much Raiders love on the line. The Saints defense is atrocious but they still won 7 games last year, the same as the Raiders. Brees is still better than the rising Derek Carr and the Raiders, and the Saints are always tough at home.

Browns +4.5 OVER @Eagles
I’m taking the points, these are bottom barrel teams squaring off. The Browns look like they could have an exciting offense but are clearly rebuilding this year and the Eagles just traded for Dorial Green-Beckham to improve their team.

@Chiefs -7.5 OVER @San Diego
The Chiefs are one of the three best teams in the AFC this year and the Chargers are still a mess defensively. The Chiefs should win this one easily. The Chiefs defense is good all around and the Chargers need to show they can hang with a good team again.

Bears +6.5 OVER @Houston
The J.J Watt injury is concerning for Houston, and Brock Osweiler will have to learn to gel with the new offense. The Bears were a tough beat last year, they lost by less than a touchdown 5 times last year and should hang with the Texans for this game. I’ll take the points.

Packers -5.5 OVER @Jacksonville
The Packers are favored significantly and the Jags aren’t ready to compete with a team like the Packers yet. The Jaguars failed to beat a team over .500 last year.

@Jets +2.5 OVER Bengals
The Jets were 6-2 at home last year and this is a Bengals team likely without Tyler Eifert for the opener and Tyler Boyd and Brandon LaFell replacing Mohammed Sanu and Marvin Jones. The Bengals are a good team but I could see them dropping this one to a tough Jets team, wouldn’t do it the Jets were laying points though.

Tampa Bay +2.5 OVER @Atlanta
I like Tampa’s offense more than Atlanta’s to be honest and Tampa swept the Falcons last year. Jameis Winston is a better QB than Matt Ryan and Atlanta still has a terrible defense. Grabbing the points and the Bucs

Late Afternoon Games 4:00 EST

@Seattle -10.5 OVER Miami
You could talk up to two touchdowns on this one. Miami is going to get crushed, they are one of the worst teams in the league. Miami lost by 11+ in four out of five of their road losses last year.

Giants OVER PICK @Dallas
Eli Manning should be able to torch a depleted Dallas defense(3 players suspended to start the year) and take the win in Dallas. Dak Prescott has a lot to prove and clearly Delaware doesn’t trust him because they aren’t favoring Dallas.

Lions +3.5 OVER @Colts
I’m grabbing the extra half point and the Lions over the return of Luck. The Colts defense still gives me pause and the Lions defense can disrupt the passer. I think the Lions will be better with Stafford spreading the ball this year but they will need help from their RB’s to stay balanced and win.

Sunday Night Game

@Cardinals -6.5 OVER Patriots
I would be very surprised if Garappolo can pull out a win in this game. The Patriots defense would have to help him a lot and I don’t see it happening against the Cardinals.

Monday Night Games

@Washington +3.5 OVER Pittsburgh
I’m surprised the Steelers are favored by this much without Le’Veon Bell(home field may turn this game into a neutral site with how many Steeler transplants there are). However no Le’Veon Bell, no Martavis Bryant, no Ladarius Green(Jesse James is the starter) leaves Antonio Brown, DeAngelo Williams and Big Ben as the whole offense. I have a gut feeling Josh Norman is going bother Brown enough for the Skins offense to go to work against a bad secondary. Washington may be desperate at RB without Matt Jones but in this game that may be a good thing for them.

@49ers +2.5 OVER LA Rams
The 49ers won this game against the Vikings last year and I think they win it again this year. I’m really down on the Rams and think Chip Kelly can make the 49ers and interesting offense. I’d rather take Gabbert and the points over Jared Goff, because that’s what it’s come to.